LIVEEBOLA (BUNDIBUGYO) · PHEIC DECLARED 16 MAY · 543 suspected cases, 131+ deaths · DRC Ituri Province + Uganda Kampala · No approved vaccine
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PLAIN-ENGLISH RISK ASSESSMENT
GENERAL PUBLIC (EU/UK/IE)
LOW RISK

No current outbreak poses elevated risk to the general European population. Mpox Clade Ib in Europe is the primary emerging concern — check vaccine status if in high-risk groups.

TRAVELLERS
VARIABLE

Risk varies by destination. Bangladesh (measles), Ecuador (yellow fever), South American cruise routes (hantavirus) all carry specific active risks. Verify vaccinations 6–8 weeks before departure.

FARM & LIVESTOCK WORKERS
MODERATE

H5N1 occupational risk is real for poultry and dairy workers. Use PPE. Report sick animals immediately.

PANDEMIC PREPAREDNESS
WATCHLIST

H5N1 on all major preparedness watchlists. No current pathogen has acquired the lethality + H2H spread combination required for a COVID-scale event.

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CRITICAL

EBOLA BUNDIBUGYO PHEIC · DRC & Uganda. 543 suspected cases, 131+ deaths. WHO PHEIC declared 16 May 2026. No approved vaccine or treatment. CDC Level 3 DRC, Level 1 Uganda.

20 May 2026
ALERT

HANTAVIRUS · MV Hondius disembarkation complete in Tenerife. 16 US passengers at UNMC biocontainment. WHO DG: "This is not another COVID." Global risk: LOW.

12 May 2026
WARNING

MPOX CLADE Ib · Local transmission confirmed Denmark. UK: 48 cases as of 30 Apr. Novel recombinant Clade Ib/IIb strain under characterisation. ECDC risk: MODERATE.

7 May 2026
WATCH

H5N1 · No new US human cases since Feb 2025. 71 total. Virus persists in dairy cattle 18+ states. CDC routine surveillance active. General public risk: LOW.

29 Apr 2026
WATCH

MEASLES · Bangladesh 47,260 cases, 259 deaths in 2026. WHO emergency vaccination underway. Travellers: verify 2-dose MMR before departure.

5 May 2026
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